Secular Change – August 2016

Secular Change

As we move forward we would like to provide you with more details about our portfolio. We prefer to discuss individual positions close to the time of harvest. We do this to avoid a common pitfall that humans tend to fall into while analyzing complex situations: commitment and consistency. To say it another way, once an individual announces publicly his position on a topic it is very hard for him to change his mind even in the face of opposing evidence. In fact, this trait is so strong and pervasive that people tend to only look for additional information that confirms their stated position and ignore any additional information that doesn’t (confirmation bias)1.